── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jack Draper 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jack Draper
Kei Nishikori
78%22%
Hard: 77% / 23%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 51% / 49%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jack Draper
96th · elite
Kei Nishikori
31th · below avg
Return
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Kei Nishikori
77th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#26
model rank
#119
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
JPN
193cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jack Draper■ Kei Nishikori
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-21 | Vienna | Hard | R32 | Jack Draper | 7-6(5) 7-5 |
| 2024-07-29 | Paris Olympics | Clay | R64 | Jack Draper | 6-1 6-4 |