── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jack Draper 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jack Draper
Christopher Oconnell
71%29%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 87% / 13%
Grass: 76% / 24%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jack Draper
95th · elite
Christopher Oconnell
41th · average
Return
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Christopher Oconnell
33th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#34
model rank
#104
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
AUS
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Jack Draper■ Christopher Oconnell
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–2
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-02-17DohaHardR16Jack Draper6-2 6-1
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR128Christopher Oconnell1-6 6-3 6-2
2019-10-07Fairfield CHHardQFChristopher Oconnell6-2 6-3