── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jack Draper 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jack Draper
Christopher Oconnell
82%18%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 87% / 13%
Grass: 85% / 15%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jack Draper
96th · elite
Christopher Oconnell
28th · below avg
Return
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Christopher Oconnell
22th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#26
model rank
#142
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
AUS
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jack Draper■ Christopher Oconnell
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-17 | Doha | Hard | R16 | Jack Draper | 6-2 6-1 |
| 2024-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R128 | Christopher Oconnell | 1-6 6-3 6-2 |
| 2019-10-07 | Fairfield CH | Hard | QF | Christopher Oconnell | 6-2 6-3 |