── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jack Draper 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jack Draper
Thanasi Kokkinakis
81%19%
Hard: 81% / 19%
Clay: 72% / 28%
Grass: 88% / 12%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jack Draper
95th · elite
Thanasi Kokkinakis
84th · strong
Return
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Thanasi Kokkinakis
49th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#34
model rank
#164
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
AUS
193cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jack Draper■ Thanasi Kokkinakis
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
Clay1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Jack Draper | 6-7(3) 6-3 3-6 7-5 6-3 |
| 2024-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R128 | Jack Draper | 6-3 3-6 7-5 |
| 2024-02-19 | Los Cabos | Hard | R32 | Thanasi Kokkinakis | 4-6 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2023-09-13 | Davis Cup Finals RR: AUS vs GBR | Hard | RR | Jack Draper | 6-7(6) 6-3 7-6(4) |