── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jack Draper 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jack Draper
Thanasi Kokkinakis
84%16%
Hard: 84% / 16%
Clay: 72% / 28%
Grass: 85% / 15%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jack Draper
96th · elite
Thanasi Kokkinakis
83th · strong
Return
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Thanasi Kokkinakis
54th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#26
model rank
#149
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
AUS
193cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jack DraperThanasi Kokkinakis
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard21
Clay10
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-01-13Australian OpenHardR64Jack Draper6-7(3) 6-3 3-6 7-5 6-3
2024-04-22Madrid MastersClayR128Jack Draper6-3 3-6 7-5
2024-02-19Los CabosHardR32Thanasi Kokkinakis4-6 7-6(5) 6-4
2023-09-13Davis Cup Finals RR: AUS vs GBRHardRRJack Draper6-7(6) 6-3 7-6(4)