── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jack Draper
Alexander Bublik
46%54%
Hard: 50% / 50%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 47% / 53%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jack Draper
95th · elite
Alexander Bublik
91th · elite
Return
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Alexander Bublik
49th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#34
model rank
#28
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
KAZ
193cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jack Draper■ Alexander Bublik
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard1–0
Grass1–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R16 | Alexander Bublik | 5-7 6-3 6-2 6-4 |
| 2024-01-08 | Adelaide | Hard | SF | Jack Draper | 7-6(2) 6-4 |
| 2021-06-14 | Queen's Club | Grass | R16 | Jack Draper | 7-6(5) 7-6(0) |
| 2019-06-17 | Queen's Club | Grass | Q1 | Alexander Bublik | 6-2 1-6 6-3 |