── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jack Draper 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jack Draper
Matteo Berrettini
57%43%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 49% / 51%
Grass: 31% / 69%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jack Draper
96th · elite
Matteo Berrettini
93th · elite
Return
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Matteo Berrettini
37th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#26
model rank
#38
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
ITA
193cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jack Draper■ Matteo Berrettini
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard1–0
Grass1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R32 | Jack Draper | 7-6(2) 0-0 RET |
| 2025-02-17 | Doha | Hard | QF | Jack Draper | 4-6 6-4 6-3 |
| 2024-06-10 | Stuttgart | Grass | F | Jack Draper | 3-6 7-6(5) 6-4 |