── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jack Draper 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jack Draper
Corentin Moutet
70%30%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 71% / 29%
Grass: 79% / 21%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jack Draper
95th · elite
Corentin Moutet
24th · below avg
Return
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Corentin Moutet
89th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#34
model rank
#101
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Left
GBR
country
FRA
193cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jack Draper■ Corentin Moutet
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | Clay | R16 | Jack Draper | 1-6 6-4 6-3 |