── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jack Draper 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jack Draper
Alexei Popyrin
69%31%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 63% / 37%
Grass: 79% / 21%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jack Draper
96th · elite
Alexei Popyrin
74th · strong
Return
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Alexei Popyrin
32th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#26
model rank
#75
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
AUS
193cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jack Draper■ Alexei Popyrin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-16 | Queen's Club | Grass | R16 | Jack Draper | 3-6 6-2 7-6(5) |
| 2025-02-17 | Doha | Hard | R32 | Jack Draper | 6-2 7-6(4) |