── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jack Draper 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jack Draper
Brandon Nakashima
58%42%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 68% / 32%
Grass: 51% / 49%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jack Draper
96th · elite
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Return
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#26
model rank
#42
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
USA
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jack Draper■ Brandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass2–0
Hard1–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-16 | Queen's Club | Grass | QF | Jack Draper | 6-4 5-7 6-4 |
| 2024-06-10 | Stuttgart | Grass | SF | Jack Draper | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2023-10-30 | Bergamo CH | Hard | SF | Jack Draper | 6-1 3-6 7-5 |
| 2022-11-07 | NextGen Finals | Hard | SF | Brandon Nakashima | 4-3(6) 1-4 4-2 4-3(5) |