── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jack Draper 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jack Draper
Holger Rune
75%25%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 37% / 63%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jack Draper
95th · elite
Holger Rune
79th · strong
Return
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Holger Rune
77th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#34
model rank
#127
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
DEN
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jack Draper■ Holger Rune
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | F | Jack Draper | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2024-08-12 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | QF | Holger Rune | 6-4 6-2 |