── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Holger Rune a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jack Draper
Holger Rune
47%53%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 37% / 63%
Grass: 66% / 34%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jack Draper
96th · elite
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Return
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Holger Rune
86th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#26
model rank
#20
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
DEN
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jack Draper■ Holger Rune
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | F | Jack Draper | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2024-08-12 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | QF | Holger Rune | 6-4 6-2 |