── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jack Draper 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jack Draper
Mattia Bellucci
78%22%
Hard: 73% / 27%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 70% / 30%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jack Draper
96th · elite
Mattia Bellucci
34th · below avg
Return
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Mattia Bellucci
24th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#26
model rank
#123
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Left
GBR
country
ITA
193cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jack Draper■ Mattia Bellucci
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Jack Draper | 3-6 6-1 6-4 6-2 |
| 2024-09-25 | Tokyo | Hard | R32 | Jack Draper | 6-4 6-2 |