── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jack Draper a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jack Draper
Mariano Navone
54%46%
Hard: 84% / 16%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 92% / 8%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jack Draper
96th · elite
Mariano Navone
28th · below avg
Return
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Mariano Navone
97th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#26
model rank
#32
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
ARG
193cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jack Draper■ Mariano Navone
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Grass1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Jack Draper | 4-6 6-3 3-6 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-06-17 | Queen's Club | Grass | R32 | Jack Draper | 6-3 6-2 |