── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jack Draper 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jack Draper
Gabriel Diallo
68%32%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 79% / 21%
Grass: 67% / 33%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jack Draper
95th · elite
Gabriel Diallo
67th · average
Return
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Gabriel Diallo
36th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#34
model rank
#92
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
CAN
193cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jack Draper■ Gabriel Diallo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | Eastbourne | Grass | QF | Jack Draper | 6-1 6-4 |