── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jack Draper 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jack Draper
Luciano Darderi
56%44%
Hard: 88% / 12%
Clay: 40% / 60%
Grass: 85% / 15%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jack Draper
96th · elite
Luciano Darderi
62th · average
Return
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Luciano Darderi
74th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#26
model rank
#37
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
ITA
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jack Draper■ Luciano Darderi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Jack Draper | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2024-10-21 | Vienna | Hard | R16 | Jack Draper | 7-5 6-1 |