── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jack Draper
Joao Fonseca
39%61%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 43% / 57%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jack Draper
96th · elite
Joao Fonseca
91th · elite
Return
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#26
model rank
#10
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
BRA
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jack Draper■ Joao Fonseca
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Jack Draper | 6-2 6-4 6-2 |
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Jack Draper | 6-4 6-0 |