── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tomas Machac 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tomas Machac
Fabio Fognini
71%29%
Hard: 73% / 27%
Clay: 66% / 34%
Grass: 53% / 47%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tomas Machac
57th · average
Fabio Fognini
6th · poor
Return
Tomas Machac
57th · average
Fabio Fognini
44th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#67
model rank
#153
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
ITA
183cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tomas Machac■ Fabio Fognini
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-26 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Tomas Machac | 7-5 6-1 6-3 |