── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tomas Machac 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tomas Machac
Kei Nishikori
74%26%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 61% / 39%
Grass: 24% / 76%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tomas Machac
72th · strong
Kei Nishikori
31th · below avg
Return
Tomas Machac
82th · strong
Kei Nishikori
77th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#35
model rank
#119
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
JPN
183cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tomas Machac■ Kei Nishikori
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings