── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tomas Machac a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tomas Machac
Grigor Dimitrov
53%47%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 49% / 51%
Grass: 19% / 81%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tomas Machac
72th · strong
Grigor Dimitrov
87th · strong
Return
Tomas Machac
82th · strong
Grigor Dimitrov
80th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#35
model rank
#41
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
BUL
183cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tomas Machac■ Grigor Dimitrov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Tomas Machac | 6-4 6-4 6-3 |
| 2024-10-21 | Vienna | Hard | R16 | Tomas Machac | 6-7(5) 6-4 6-3 |