── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Grigor Dimitrov a slight 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Tomas Machac
Grigor Dimitrov
44%56%
Hard: 38% / 62%
Clay: 51% / 49%
Grass: 21% / 79%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Tomas Machac
57th · average
Grigor Dimitrov
86th · strong
Return
Tomas Machac
57th · average
Grigor Dimitrov
71th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#67
model rank
#52
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
BUL
183cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Tomas Machac■ Grigor Dimitrov
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR128Tomas Machac6-4 6-4 6-3
2024-10-21ViennaHardR16Tomas Machac6-7(5) 6-4 6-3