── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Tomas Machac 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Tomas Machac
James Duckworth
74%26%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 53% / 47%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Tomas Machac
72th · strong
James Duckworth
57th · average
Return
Tomas Machac
82th · strong
James Duckworth
11th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#35
model rank
#117
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
AUS
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Tomas MachacJames Duckworth
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard12
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-12AdelaideHardR32Tomas Machac6-3 6-3
2022-09-05Cassis CHHardSFJames Duckworth6-3 6-4
2021-02-01Murray River OpenHardR64James Duckworth6-3 6-4