── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Tomas Machac 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Tomas Machac
James Duckworth
61%39%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 59% / 41%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Tomas Machac
57th · average
James Duckworth
59th · average
Return
Tomas Machac
57th · average
James Duckworth
11th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#67
model rank
#109
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
AUS
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Tomas Machac■ James Duckworth
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–2
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-12AdelaideHardR32Tomas Machac6-3 6-3
2022-09-05Cassis CHHardSFJames Duckworth6-3 6-4
2021-02-01Murray River OpenHardR64James Duckworth6-3 6-4