── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tomas Machac 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tomas Machac
Zhizhen Zhang
74%26%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 61% / 39%
Grass: 44% / 56%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tomas Machac
59th · average
Zhizhen Zhang
42th · average
Return
Tomas Machac
60th · average
Zhizhen Zhang
11th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#64
model rank
#162
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
CHN
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tomas Machac■ Zhizhen Zhang
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | R128 | Tomas Machac | 1-6 7-6(3) 6-2 |
| 2024-07-29 | Paris Olympics | Clay | R64 | Tomas Machac | 6-2 4-6 6-2 |
| 2022-08-15 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki CH | Hard | F | Tomas Machac | 1-6 6-3 6-2 |