── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tomas Machac 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tomas Machac
Reilly Opelka
59%41%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 54% / 46%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tomas Machac
57th · average
Reilly Opelka
97th · elite
Return
Tomas Machac
57th · average
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#67
model rank
#100
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
USA
183cm
height
211cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tomas Machac■ Reilly Opelka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Reilly Opelka | 7-6(5) 6-7(5) 6-3 |
| 2025-03-19 | Miami Masters | Hard | R32 | Tomas Machac | 7-6(1) 6-3 |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Tomas Machac | 3-6 7-6(1) 6-7(5) 7-6(4) 6-4 |