── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrey Rublev 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tomas Machac
Andrey Rublev
41%59%
Hard: 47% / 53%
Clay: 27% / 73%
Grass: 24% / 76%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tomas Machac
72th · strong
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Return
Tomas Machac
82th · strong
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#35
model rank
#19
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
RUS
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tomas Machac■ Andrey Rublev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Barcelona | Clay | QF | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2024-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Tomas Machac | 6-4 6-4 |