── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Tomas Machac a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Tomas Machac
Stefanos Tsitsipas
55%45%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 25% / 75%
Grass: 47% / 53%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Tomas Machac
72th · strong
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Return
Tomas Machac
82th · strong
Stefanos Tsitsipas
53th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#35
model rank
#45
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
GRE
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Tomas MachacStefanos Tsitsipas
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
Hard11
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayR128Tomas Machac6-4 7-6(4)
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR64Tomas Machac6-4 3-6 7-6(5) 7-6(5)
2023-10-23ViennaHardR16Stefanos Tsitsipas6-3 4-6 7-5