── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tomas Machac a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tomas Machac
Ugo Humbert
53%47%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 65% / 35%
Grass: 36% / 64%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tomas Machac
72th · strong
Ugo Humbert
86th · strong
Return
Tomas Machac
82th · strong
Ugo Humbert
63th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#35
model rank
#39
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
CZE
country
FRA
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tomas Machac■ Ugo Humbert
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | Adelaide | Hard | F | Tomas Machac | 6-4 6-7(2) 6-2 |
| 2024-09-25 | Tokyo | Hard | SF | Ugo Humbert | 6-3 3-6 6-2 |

