── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tomas Machac 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tomas Machac
Sebastian Baez
65%35%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 72% / 28%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tomas Machac
72th · strong
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Return
Tomas Machac
82th · strong
Sebastian Baez
85th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#35
model rank
#77
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
ARG
183cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tomas Machac■ Sebastian Baez
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Barcelona | Clay | R32 | Tomas Machac | 2-6 6-4 6-1 |
| 2025-04-07 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R64 | Tomas Machac | 3-6 6-3 6-2 |