── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tomas Machac 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tomas Machac
Emilio Nava
68%32%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 62% / 38%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tomas Machac
72th · strong
Emilio Nava
54th · average
Return
Tomas Machac
82th · strong
Emilio Nava
12th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#35
model rank
#92
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
USA
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tomas Machac■ Emilio Nava
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R128 | Tomas Machac | 2-6 6-4 6-1 |