── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tomas Machac 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tomas Machac
Emilio Nava
62%38%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 71% / 29%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tomas Machac
57th · average
Emilio Nava
47th · average
Return
Tomas Machac
57th · average
Emilio Nava
9th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#67
model rank
#115
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
USA
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tomas Machac■ Emilio Nava
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R128 | Tomas Machac | 2-6 6-4 6-1 |

