── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tomas Machac 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tomas Machac
Jesper De Jong
62%38%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 47% / 53%
Grass: 69% / 31%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tomas Machac
59th · average
Jesper De Jong
26th · below avg
Return
Tomas Machac
60th · average
Jesper De Jong
46th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#64
model rank
#112
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
NED
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tomas Machac■ Jesper De Jong
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard3–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-16 | Halle | Grass | R32 | Tomas Machac | 7-5 3-6 6-3 |
| 2022-01-17 | Australian Open | Hard | Q3 | Tomas Machac | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2022-01-03 | Traralgon CH | Hard | SF | Tomas Machac | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2019-03-18 | M15 Manama | Hard | SF | Tomas Machac | 6-0 6-4 |