── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Flavio Cobolli 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Tomas Machac
Flavio Cobolli
40%60%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 33% / 67%
Grass: 32% / 68%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Tomas Machac
57th · average
Flavio Cobolli
41th · average
Return
Tomas Machac
57th · average
Flavio Cobolli
63th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#67
model rank
#36
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
ITA
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Tomas Machac■ Flavio Cobolli
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard3–2
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-27Paris MastersHardR64Flavio Cobolli6-1 6-4
2025-10-20ViennaHardR32Flavio Cobolli7-6(6) 6-2
2024-12-27United CupHardQFTomas Machac6-1 6-2
2022-11-21Andria CHHardR32Tomas Machac7-6(3) 6-2
2022-08-29Us OpenHardQ3Tomas Machac7-6(7) 5-7 6-1