── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tomas Machac a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tomas Machac
Mattia Bellucci
51%49%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 29% / 71%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tomas Machac
59th · average
Mattia Bellucci
54th · average
Return
Tomas Machac
60th · average
Mattia Bellucci
52th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#64
model rank
#66
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
CZE
country
ITA
183cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tomas Machac■ Mattia Bellucci
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R64 | Tomas Machac | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2023-09-04 | Cassis CH | Hard | F | Mattia Bellucci | 6-3 6-4 |