── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tomas Machac
Joao Fonseca
29%71%
Hard: 23% / 77%
Clay: 31% / 69%
Grass: 44% / 56%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tomas Machac
59th · average
Joao Fonseca
82th · strong
Return
Tomas Machac
60th · average
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#64
model rank
#15
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
BRA
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tomas Machac■ Joao Fonseca
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R64 | Tomas Machac | 7-6(4) 6-2 6-3 |