── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Zverev 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Flavio Cobolli
Alexander Zverev
16%84%
Hard: 10% / 90%
Clay: 22% / 78%
Grass: 24% / 76%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Flavio Cobolli
41th · average
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Return
Flavio Cobolli
63th · average
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#36
model rank
#4
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
GER
183cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Flavio Cobolli■ Alexander Zverev
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–3
Grass0–1
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayFAlexander Zverev6-1 4-6 6-4 6-7(5) 6-1
2026-04-22Madrid MastersClayQFAlexander Zverev6-1 6-4
2026-04-13MunichClaySFFlavio Cobolli6-3 6-3
2025-06-16HalleGrassQFAlexander Zverev6-4 7-6(6)
2025-05-26Roland GarrosClayR32Alexander Zverev6-2 7-6(4) 6-1