── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Flavio Cobolli 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Flavio Cobolli
Stan Wawrinka
78%22%
Hard: 47% / 53%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 52% / 48%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Flavio Cobolli
48th · average
Stan Wawrinka
67th · average
Return
Flavio Cobolli
60th · average
Stan Wawrinka
21th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#25
model rank
#116
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
SUI
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Flavio CobolliStan Wawrinka
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-05United CupHardRRFlavio Cobolli6-4 6-7(2) 7-6(4)
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersHardR64Flavio Cobolli6-7(6) 7-6(4) 6-3