── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Flavio Cobolli 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Flavio Cobolli
Marin Cilic
69%31%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 83% / 17%
Grass: 22% / 78%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Flavio Cobolli
48th · average
Marin Cilic
81th · strong
Return
Flavio Cobolli
60th · average
Marin Cilic
47th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#25
model rank
#70
Clay
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
CRO
183cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Flavio Cobolli■ Marin Cilic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Clay2–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R16 | Flavio Cobolli | 6-4 6-4 6-7(4) 7-6(3) |
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Flavio Cobolli | 6-2 6-1 6-3 |
| 2023-07-24 | Umag | Clay | R32 | Flavio Cobolli | 6-4 6-3 |