── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Flavio Cobolli 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Flavio Cobolli
James Duckworth
69%31%
Hard: 53% / 47%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 74% / 26%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Flavio Cobolli
41th · average
James Duckworth
60th · average
Return
Flavio Cobolli
63th · average
James Duckworth
11th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#36
model rank
#108
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
AUS
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Flavio Cobolli■ James Duckworth
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass1–0
Hard1–1
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-02WimbledonGrassR64Flavio Cobolli7-6(4) 3-6 7-6(3) 6-1
2025-10-13AlmatyHardQFJames Duckworth6-3 6-2
2024-08-26Us OpenHardR128Flavio Cobolli6-1 4-6 6-4 6-4