── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Flavio Cobolli 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Flavio Cobolli
James Duckworth
78%22%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 87% / 13%
Grass: 69% / 31%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Flavio Cobolli
48th · average
James Duckworth
57th · average
Return
Flavio Cobolli
60th · average
James Duckworth
11th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#25
model rank
#117
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
AUS
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Flavio CobolliJames Duckworth
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-13AlmatyHardQFJames Duckworth6-3 6-2
2024-08-26Us OpenHardR128Flavio Cobolli6-1 4-6 6-4 6-4