── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Flavio Cobolli 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Flavio Cobolli
Yoshihito Nishioka
80%20%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 83% / 17%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Flavio Cobolli
48th · average
Yoshihito Nishioka
20th · below avg
Return
Flavio Cobolli
60th · average
Yoshihito Nishioka
57th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#25
model rank
#128
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
JPN
183cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Flavio CobolliYoshihito Nishioka
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard21
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-21WashingtonHardR32Flavio Cobolli6-2 7-6(3)
2024-03-18Miami MastersHardR128Flavio Cobolli1-6 6-1 6-4
2024-02-19Los CabosHardR32Yoshihito Nishioka6-1 6-0