── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Karen Khachanov 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Flavio Cobolli
Karen Khachanov
42%58%
Hard: 29% / 71%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 40% / 60%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Flavio Cobolli
41th · average
Karen Khachanov
90th · elite
Return
Flavio Cobolli
63th · average
Karen Khachanov
81th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#36
model rank
#26
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
RUS
183cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Flavio Cobolli■ Karen Khachanov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Clay0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Wimbledon | Grass | R32 | Flavio Cobolli | 0-6 7-6(4) 6-7(5) 6-2 6-2 |
| 2024-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R32 | Karen Khachanov | 7-5 6-4 |