── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrey Rublev a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Flavio Cobolli
Andrey Rublev
47%53%
Hard: 32% / 68%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 38% / 62%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Flavio Cobolli
48th · average
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Return
Flavio Cobolli
60th · average
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#25
model rank
#19
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
RUS
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Flavio Cobolli■ Andrey Rublev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-25 | Beijing | Hard | R32 | Flavio Cobolli | 7-6(3) 6-3 |
| 2025-05-18 | Hamburg | Clay | F | Flavio Cobolli | 6-2 6-4 |