── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Flavio Cobolli
Tommy Paul
37%63%
Hard: 27% / 73%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 33% / 67%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Flavio Cobolli
41th · average
Tommy Paul
81th · strong
Return
Flavio Cobolli
63th · average
Tommy Paul
94th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#36
model rank
#16
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
USA
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Flavio Cobolli■ Tommy Paul
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | QF | Flavio Cobolli | 2-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-08-12 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Flavio Cobolli | 6-2 4-6 7-5 |