── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Flavio Cobolli 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Flavio Cobolli
Denis Shapovalov
68%32%
Hard: 34% / 66%
Clay: 82% / 18%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Flavio Cobolli
48th · average
Denis Shapovalov
51th · average
Return
Flavio Cobolli
60th · average
Denis Shapovalov
82th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#25
model rank
#66
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
CAN
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Flavio Cobolli■ Denis Shapovalov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-16 | Halle | Grass | R16 | Flavio Cobolli | 7-6(2) 4-6 7-6(5) |