── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Flavio Cobolli
Felix Auger Aliassime
38%62%
Hard: 19% / 81%
Clay: 58% / 42%
Grass: 44% / 56%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Flavio Cobolli
48th · average
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Return
Flavio Cobolli
60th · average
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#25
model rank
#9
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
CAN
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Flavio Cobolli■ Felix Auger Aliassime
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard2–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | QF | Flavio Cobolli | 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-08-05 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Flavio Cobolli | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-02-26 | Acapulco | Hard | R32 | Flavio Cobolli | 2-6 6-3 6-2 |