── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Flavio Cobolli 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Flavio Cobolli
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
74%26%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 67% / 33%
Grass: 94% / 6%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Flavio Cobolli
41th · average
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
18th · poor
Return
Flavio Cobolli
63th · average
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
37th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#36
model rank
#132
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ARG
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Flavio Cobolli■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersClayR64Flavio Cobolli6-7(7) 6-1 6-4