── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Flavio Cobolli 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Flavio Cobolli
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
71%29%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 68% / 32%
Grass: 92% / 8%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Flavio Cobolli
48th · average
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Return
Flavio Cobolli
60th · average
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#25
model rank
#82
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ARG
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Flavio CobolliCamilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersClayR64Flavio Cobolli6-7(7) 6-1 6-4