── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Flavio Cobolli
Alex De Minaur
32%68%
Hard: 19% / 81%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 29% / 71%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Flavio Cobolli
41th · average
Alex De Minaur
72th · strong
Return
Flavio Cobolli
63th · average
Alex De Minaur
99th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#36
model rank
#10
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
AUS
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Flavio Cobolli■ Alex De Minaur
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard0–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Wimbledon | Grass | R16 | Flavio Cobolli | 7-5 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2024-10-21 | Vienna | Hard | R16 | Alex De Minaur | 7-6(2) 3-1 RET |
| 2024-01-15 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Alex De Minaur | 6-3 6-3 6-1 |