── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Flavio Cobolli 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Flavio Cobolli
Thiago Agustin Tirante
64%36%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 66% / 34%
Grass: 83% / 17%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Flavio Cobolli
48th · average
Thiago Agustin Tirante
74th · strong
Return
Flavio Cobolli
60th · average
Thiago Agustin Tirante
23th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#25
model rank
#53
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ARG
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Flavio CobolliThiago Agustin Tirante
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay21
Hard01
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayR32Thiago Agustin Tirante6-3 6-4
2025-03-19Miami MastersHardR128Thiago Agustin Tirante6-1 3-6 6-3
2023-07-03Milan CHClayQFFlavio Cobolli6-4 3-6 6-3
2021-08-23Barletta CHClaySFFlavio Cobolli6-1 1-6 7-5