── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Flavio Cobolli a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Flavio Cobolli
Tomas Machac
55%45%
Hard: 34% / 66%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 66% / 34%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Flavio Cobolli
48th · average
Tomas Machac
72th · strong
Return
Flavio Cobolli
60th · average
Tomas Machac
82th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#25
model rank
#35
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
CZE
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Flavio Cobolli■ Tomas Machac
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–3
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | Paris Masters | Hard | R64 | Flavio Cobolli | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2025-10-20 | Vienna | Hard | R32 | Flavio Cobolli | 7-6(6) 6-2 |
| 2024-12-27 | United Cup | Hard | QF | Tomas Machac | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2022-11-21 | Andria CH | Hard | R32 | Tomas Machac | 7-6(3) 6-2 |
| 2022-08-29 | Us Open | Hard | Q3 | Tomas Machac | 7-6(7) 5-7 6-1 |