── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Flavio Cobolli 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Flavio Cobolli
Tomas Machac
58%42%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 67% / 33%
Grass: 68% / 32%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Flavio Cobolli
41th · average
Tomas Machac
59th · average
Return
Flavio Cobolli
63th · average
Tomas Machac
60th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#36
model rank
#64
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
CZE
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Flavio Cobolli■ Tomas Machac
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–3
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-27Paris MastersHardR64Flavio Cobolli6-1 6-4
2025-10-20ViennaHardR32Flavio Cobolli7-6(6) 6-2
2024-12-27United CupHardQFTomas Machac6-1 6-2
2022-11-21Andria CHHardR32Tomas Machac7-6(3) 6-2
2022-08-29Us OpenHardQ3Tomas Machac7-6(7) 5-7 6-1