── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Flavio Cobolli 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Flavio Cobolli
Luca Nardi
82%18%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 88% / 12%
Grass: 90% / 10%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Flavio Cobolli
48th · average
Luca Nardi
16th · poor
Return
Flavio Cobolli
60th · average
Luca Nardi
45th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#25
model rank
#144
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ITA
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Flavio Cobolli■ Luca Nardi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–3
Clay1–1
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | Montpellier | Hard | R16 | Luca Nardi | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | Clay | R128 | Luca Nardi | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-01-06 | Auckland | Hard | R32 | Luca Nardi | 6-2 1-1 RET |
| 2023-11-27 | NextGen Finals | Hard | RR | Luca Nardi | 3-4(4) 4-2 4-3(1) 1-4 4-3(3) |
| 2023-07-24 | Umag | Clay | Q1 | Flavio Cobolli | 6-1 7-5 |