── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Flavio Cobolli 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Flavio Cobolli
Tristan Schoolkate
79%21%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 95% / 5%
Grass: 67% / 33%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Flavio Cobolli
41th · average
Tristan Schoolkate
40th · below avg
Return
Flavio Cobolli
63th · average
Tristan Schoolkate
8th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#36
model rank
#157
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
AUS
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Flavio Cobolli■ Tristan Schoolkate
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-03US OpenHardR64Flavio Cobolli3-6 6-3 6-4 7-5