── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Learner Tien a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Flavio Cobolli
Learner Tien
45%55%
Hard: 26% / 74%
Clay: 71% / 29%
Grass: 73% / 27%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Flavio Cobolli
48th · average
Learner Tien
68th · average
Return
Flavio Cobolli
60th · average
Learner Tien
91th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#25
model rank
#17
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
USA
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Flavio Cobolli■ Learner Tien
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Flavio Cobolli | 6-2 6-2 6-3 |
| 2025-09-25 | Beijing | Hard | R16 | Learner Tien | 6-3 6-2 |