── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Flavio Cobolli
Joao Fonseca
39%61%
Hard: 22% / 78%
Clay: 51% / 49%
Grass: 56% / 44%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Flavio Cobolli
48th · average
Joao Fonseca
91th · elite
Return
Flavio Cobolli
60th · average
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#25
model rank
#10
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
BRA
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Flavio Cobolli■ Joao Fonseca
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Grass1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-19 | Laver Cup | Hard | RR | Joao Fonseca | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2025-06-16 | Halle | Grass | R32 | Flavio Cobolli | 5-7 7-6(3) 7-6(8) |