── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Rafael Jodar 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Flavio Cobolli
Rafael Jodar
31%69%
Hard: 27% / 73%
Clay: 36% / 64%
Grass: 77% / 23%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Flavio Cobolli
41th · average
Rafael Jodar
68th · average
Return
Flavio Cobolli
63th · average
Rafael Jodar
98th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#36
model rank
#7
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
—
ITA
country
ESP
183cm
height
—
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Flavio Cobolli■ Rafael Jodar
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R16 | Flavio Cobolli | 4-6 7-6(3) 6-3 |