── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Stan Wawrinka 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jacob Fearnley
Stan Wawrinka
37%63%
Hard: 27% / 73%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 35% / 65%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jacob Fearnley
7th · poor
Stan Wawrinka
67th · average
Return
Jacob Fearnley
67th · average
Stan Wawrinka
21th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#158
model rank
#116
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
SUI
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jacob FearnleyStan Wawrinka
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosClayR128Jacob Fearnley7-6(6) 6-3 6-2