── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jacob Fearnley 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jacob Fearnley
Fabio Fognini
66%34%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 53% / 47%
Grass: 69% / 31%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jacob Fearnley
11th · poor
Fabio Fognini
6th · poor
Return
Jacob Fearnley
91th · elite
Fabio Fognini
44th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#92
model rank
#153
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
ITA
183cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jacob Fearnley■ Fabio Fognini
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | Clay | R128 | Jacob Fearnley | 6-2 6-3 |