── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Fabio Fognini a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jacob Fearnley
Fabio Fognini
47%53%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 53% / 47%
Grass: 53% / 47%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jacob Fearnley
7th · poor
Fabio Fognini
4th · poor
Return
Jacob Fearnley
67th · average
Fabio Fognini
43th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#158
model rank
#148
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
ITA
183cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jacob Fearnley■ Fabio Fognini
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | Clay | R128 | Jacob Fearnley | 6-2 6-3 |